**Forecast model ensembles place Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 26–28 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) reflecting genuine spread among runs.** Recent guidance from the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on 26–27 °C under mostly sunny to broken-cloud conditions, while a few higher-resolution or outlier solutions reach 29–32 °C. The partial solar eclipse, peaking near 20:11 local time with ~88 % obscuration, occurs after the typical afternoon peak and is therefore expected to exert only marginal cooling. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover amid a broader European heat pattern earlier in the month; climatological August highs average 21–22 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus mid-range while discounting low-probability tails, consistent with the modest market-implied odds for 29 °C (13 %) and above. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance ahead of the 12th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
29°C 17%
26°C 9%
$12,605 Vol.
$12,605 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
36%
28°C
32%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
29°C 17%
26°C 9%
$12,605 Vol.
$12,605 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
36%
28°C
32%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model ensembles place Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 26–28 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %) reflecting genuine spread among runs.** Recent guidance from the Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate converge on 26–27 °C under mostly sunny to broken-cloud conditions, while a few higher-resolution or outlier solutions reach 29–32 °C. The partial solar eclipse, peaking near 20:11 local time with ~88 % obscuration, occurs after the typical afternoon peak and is therefore expected to exert only marginal cooling. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent warm advection and limited cloud cover amid a broader European heat pattern earlier in the month; climatological August highs average 21–22 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus mid-range while discounting low-probability tails, consistent with the modest market-implied odds for 29 °C (13 %) and above. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance ahead of the 12th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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