Recent short-range forecasts of showers and extensive cloud cover over Hong Kong on August 3 are the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28°C (34%) and 29°C (28.5%). Persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation limit daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling, capping maxima below the seasonal average high near 31–32°C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures provides broader context, yet local model consensus emphasizes these transient conditions that differentiate 27–29°C outcomes from rarer clearer-sky scenarios favoring 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
28°C 35%
29°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
30%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
1%
26°C
$112 Vol.
4%
27°C
$342 Vol.
20%
28°C
$134 Vol.
35%
29°C
$709 Vol.
30%
30°C
$298 Vol.
8%
31°C
$470 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$223 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts of showers and extensive cloud cover over Hong Kong on August 3 are the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28°C (34%) and 29°C (28.5%). Persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation limit daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling, capping maxima below the seasonal average high near 31–32°C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures provides broader context, yet local model consensus emphasizes these transient conditions that differentiate 27–29°C outcomes from rarer clearer-sky scenarios favoring 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,269শেষ তারিখ
Aug 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts of showers and extensive cloud cover over Hong Kong on August 3 are the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28°C (34%) and 29°C (28.5%). Persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation limit daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling, capping maxima below the seasonal average high near 31–32°C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures provides broader context, yet local model consensus emphasizes these transient conditions that differentiate 27–29°C outcomes from rarer clearer-sky scenarios favoring 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$4,269শেষ তারিখ
Aug 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts of showers and extensive cloud cover over Hong Kong on August 3 are the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28°C (34%) and 29°C (28.5%). Persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation limit daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling, capping maxima below the seasonal average high near 31–32°C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures provides broader context, yet local model consensus emphasizes these transient conditions that differentiate 27–29°C outcomes from rarer clearer-sky scenarios favoring 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা