July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
29°C 40%
30°C 37%
28°C 11.2%
31°C 5.3%
নতুন
$80,793 Vol.
নতুন
$80,793 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
11%
29°C
40%
30°C
37%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
30°C 37%
28°C 11.2%
31°C 5.3%
নতুন
$80,793 Vol.
নতুন
$80,793 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,682 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,170 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31,376 Vol.
11%
29°C
$4,781 Vol.
40%
30°C
$3,886 Vol.
37%
31°C
$3,103 Vol.
5%
32°C
$7,722 Vol.
1%
33°C
$7,787 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$6,429 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$80,793শেষ তারিখ
Jul 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$80,793শেষ তারিখ
Jul 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা