Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on July 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 15?
22°C 38%
23°C 35%
21°C or below 20%
24°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 15, 2026
21°C or below
20%
22°C
38%
23°C
35%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 38%
23°C 35%
21°C or below 20%
24°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 15, 2026
21°C or below
$34 Vol.
20%
22°C
$94 Vol.
38%
23°C
$62 Vol.
35%
24°C
$7 Vol.
9%
25°C
$95 Vol.
4%
26°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,102শেষ তারিখ
Jul 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,102শেষ তারিখ
Jul 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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