Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Hong Kong’s July 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the interplay between subtropical high pressure and incoming tropical moisture. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal July temperatures aligns with typical summer solar heating and humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near 32°C, yet model runs diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and showers that can suppress daily highs by 1–2°C. Recent strengthening of a high-pressure ridge has favored clearer conditions and stronger insolation in prior days, boosting probabilities for the upper end of the range, while South China Sea convection introduces variable moisture that favors the lower outcomes. Updated HKO guidance and regional model ensembles expected within 24 hours will likely resolve these differences ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23?
32°C 43%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
30°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
43%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
30°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
$382 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$343 Vol.
1%
29°C
$484 Vol.
1%
30°C
$222 Vol.
6%
31°C
$273 Vol.
16%
32°C
$202 Vol.
43%
33°C
$307 Vol.
30%
34°C
$72 Vol.
5%
35°C
$885 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Hong Kong’s July 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the interplay between subtropical high pressure and incoming tropical moisture. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal July temperatures aligns with typical summer solar heating and humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near 32°C, yet model runs diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and showers that can suppress daily highs by 1–2°C. Recent strengthening of a high-pressure ridge has favored clearer conditions and stronger insolation in prior days, boosting probabilities for the upper end of the range, while South China Sea convection introduces variable moisture that favors the lower outcomes. Updated HKO guidance and regional model ensembles expected within 24 hours will likely resolve these differences ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,589শেষ তারিখ
Jul 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Hong Kong’s July 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the interplay between subtropical high pressure and incoming tropical moisture. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal July temperatures aligns with typical summer solar heating and humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near 32°C, yet model runs diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and showers that can suppress daily highs by 1–2°C. Recent strengthening of a high-pressure ridge has favored clearer conditions and stronger insolation in prior days, boosting probabilities for the upper end of the range, while South China Sea convection introduces variable moisture that favors the lower outcomes. Updated HKO guidance and regional model ensembles expected within 24 hours will likely resolve these differences ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$3,589শেষ তারিখ
Jul 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Hong Kong’s July 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the interplay between subtropical high pressure and incoming tropical moisture. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal July temperatures aligns with typical summer solar heating and humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near 32°C, yet model runs diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and showers that can suppress daily highs by 1–2°C. Recent strengthening of a high-pressure ridge has favored clearer conditions and stronger insolation in prior days, boosting probabilities for the upper end of the range, while South China Sea convection introduces variable moisture that favors the lower outcomes. Updated HKO guidance and regional model ensembles expected within 24 hours will likely resolve these differences ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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