Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Houston highs on October 13 near 90–92°F under mostly sunny skies, with south-southeast winds and a 60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s leading 90–91°F (44%) and 92–93°F (23.5%) bins, as daytime heating and limited cloud cover allow temperatures to peak in the low 90s before convection develops. Thunderstorm timing and intensity remain the key uncertainty; stronger or earlier storms could suppress maxima toward the 81°F-or-below range (21.5%), while drier outcomes would favor the upper bins. Historical October climatology in southeast Texas shows average highs near 85°F, so the current warm pattern reflects above-normal Gulf moisture and southerly flow. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine storm timing and maximum temperature guidance.