Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 12?
28°C 59%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 3%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
59%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 59%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 3%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$276 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$295 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,202 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,558 Vol.
59%
29°C
$872 Vol.
24%
30°C
$228 Vol.
3%
31°C
$308 Vol.
1%
32°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$881 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,286শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$6,286শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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