Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicates Istanbul will experience sunny, stable conditions on August 23 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, favoring daytime maxima clustered in the upper 20s °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, with 27–29 °C outcomes commanding over 90 % combined implied probability because ensemble runs show only modest differences in peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and light northerly flow that could trim or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes typical August climatology near 28–29 °C, while any marine influence or slight cloud increase remains the key variable that could shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution thresholds. Updated model runs tomorrow will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
28°C 37%
27°C 34%
29°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
34%
28°C
37%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
6%
28°C 37%
27°C 34%
29°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
34%
28°C
37%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicates Istanbul will experience sunny, stable conditions on August 23 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, favoring daytime maxima clustered in the upper 20s °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, with 27–29 °C outcomes commanding over 90 % combined implied probability because ensemble runs show only modest differences in peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and light northerly flow that could trim or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes typical August climatology near 28–29 °C, while any marine influence or slight cloud increase remains the key variable that could shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution thresholds. Updated model runs tomorrow will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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