Recent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s highest temperature on June 19, driven by an approaching ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. Ensemble guidance indicates maximum temperatures likely peaking near 36–37°C under light southerly flow, with limited cloud cover and dry conditions supporting strong insolation near the summer solstice. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps slight probability on 35°C, while climatological norms for mid-June highs near 30°C underscore the anomalous warmth currently priced in by traders. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 45%
37°C 34%
35°C 13%
34°C 7%
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
13%
36°C
45%
37°C
34%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 34%
35°C 13%
34°C 7%
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
13%
36°C
45%
37°C
34%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s highest temperature on June 19, driven by an approaching ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. Ensemble guidance indicates maximum temperatures likely peaking near 36–37°C under light southerly flow, with limited cloud cover and dry conditions supporting strong insolation near the summer solstice. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps slight probability on 35°C, while climatological norms for mid-June highs near 30°C underscore the anomalous warmth currently priced in by traders. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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