Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on July 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 14?
25°C 50%
24°C 30%
26°C 17.9%
23°C 5%
নতুন
$14,482 Vol.
নতুন
$14,482 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
30%
25°C
50%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 30%
26°C 17.9%
23°C 5%
নতুন
$14,482 Vol.
নতুন
$14,482 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
19°C or below
$2,421 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,007 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,879 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,307 Vol.
2%
23°C
$738 Vol.
5%
24°C
$1,274 Vol.
30%
25°C
$1,155 Vol.
50%
26°C
$969 Vol.
18%
27°C
$824 Vol.
1%
28°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,482শেষ তারিখ
Jul 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$14,482শেষ তারিখ
Jul 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা