Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center projected a daytime high of 13°C in Moscow on October 4 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds of 3-8 m/s and no significant precipitation. Station observations recorded afternoon peaks reaching this level, consistent with the seasonal average high near 12°C and the influence of mild Atlantic air masses. Trader consensus at 100% for 13°C reflects these verified model outputs and real-time measurements rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require the final official reading—typically from Roshydromet stations—to deviate due to localized microclimates, timing of the daily maximum, or minor model adjustments in the closing hours.