Current forecasts from National Weather Service models project a high near 82°F in Central Park on August 2, 2026, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 43% implied probability amid stable high-pressure conditions without significant warm-air advection. Seasonal averages for early August hover around 83°F, and the absence of heat-wave signals or model consensus for 85°F+ readings keeps 84-85°F at 29% while capping higher bins below 4%. Recent CPC outlooks note a lean toward above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-range guidance through the weekend shows minimal deviation from climatology, with traders weighting the latest model runs and verification of prior daily markets heavily.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 2?
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 5%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 5%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from National Weather Service models project a high near 82°F in Central Park on August 2, 2026, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 43% implied probability amid stable high-pressure conditions without significant warm-air advection. Seasonal averages for early August hover around 83°F, and the absence of heat-wave signals or model consensus for 85°F+ readings keeps 84-85°F at 29% while capping higher bins below 4%. Recent CPC outlooks note a lean toward above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-range guidance through the weekend shows minimal deviation from climatology, with traders weighting the latest model runs and verification of prior daily markets heavily.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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