Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on July 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 4?
30°C 37%
29°C 31%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
31%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 31%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 4, 2026
25°C or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$216 Vol.
1%
27°C
$307 Vol.
1%
28°C
$742 Vol.
8%
29°C
$2,112 Vol.
31%
30°C
$438 Vol.
37%
31°C
$791 Vol.
22%
32°C
$180 Vol.
3%
33°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,867শেষ তারিখ
Jul 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$5,867শেষ তারিখ
Jul 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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