Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates mostly sunny conditions with southerly flow over the Yellow Sea, supporting daytime heating but moderated by coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity levels near 75-85%. These factors create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, with small differences in cloud timing, subsidence strength, or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the peak by 1-2°C between 32°C and 34°C. Trader consensus at 33°C reflects the central tendency of current runs, while the spread across neighboring bins captures model divergence typical this close to the event and historical variability in late-August Qingdao maxima. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates mostly sunny conditions with southerly flow over the Yellow Sea, supporting daytime heating but moderated by coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity levels near 75-85%. These factors create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, with small differences in cloud timing, subsidence strength, or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the peak by 1-2°C between 32°C and 34°C. Trader consensus at 33°C reflects the central tendency of current runs, while the spread across neighboring bins captures model divergence typical this close to the event and historical variability in late-August Qingdao maxima. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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