Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture through early August, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping highs near or below 30°C on August 4. Numerical models show modest spread around peak values because of uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences boundary-layer temperatures via evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but the current pattern of organized convection and elevated humidity has pulled consensus lower, creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or sea-surface temperatures over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push realized maximums higher or lower.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 4?
31°C 34%
29°C 31%
30°C 19%
28°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C
34%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
29°C 31%
30°C 19%
28°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$40 Vol.
12%
29°C
$84 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
34%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$110 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$110 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture through early August, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping highs near or below 30°C on August 4. Numerical models show modest spread around peak values because of uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences boundary-layer temperatures via evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but the current pattern of organized convection and elevated humidity has pulled consensus lower, creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or sea-surface temperatures over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push realized maximums higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$381শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture through early August, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping highs near or below 30°C on August 4. Numerical models show modest spread around peak values because of uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences boundary-layer temperatures via evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but the current pattern of organized convection and elevated humidity has pulled consensus lower, creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or sea-surface temperatures over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push realized maximums higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$381শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture through early August, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping highs near or below 30°C on August 4. Numerical models show modest spread around peak values because of uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences boundary-layer temperatures via evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but the current pattern of organized convection and elevated humidity has pulled consensus lower, creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities between 29°C and 31°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or sea-surface temperatures over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push realized maximums higher or lower.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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