Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models currently favor a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 13, driving the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities between those outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies support gradual warming, while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze and typical June humidity levels limit extreme spikes. Model spread and minor timing differences in the passage of a weak upper-level trough introduce uncertainty that traders price into nearby 28°C and 31°C contracts. Updated IMS guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the observation period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 13?
29°C 37%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
37%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
37%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models currently favor a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 13, driving the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities between those outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies support gradual warming, while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze and typical June humidity levels limit extreme spikes. Model spread and minor timing differences in the passage of a weak upper-level trough introduce uncertainty that traders price into nearby 28°C and 31°C contracts. Updated IMS guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the observation period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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