Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
36°C 33%
35°C 24%
37°C 22%
38°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 23, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
24%
36°C
33%
37°C
22%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 33%
35°C 24%
37°C 22%
38°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 23, 2026
29°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$23 Vol.
1%
33°C
$45 Vol.
2%
34°C
$139 Vol.
9%
35°C
$62 Vol.
24%
36°C
$593 Vol.
33%
37°C
$82 Vol.
22%
38°C
$206 Vol.
10%
39°C or higher
$3,081 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,507শেষ তারিখ
Jul 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,507শেষ তারিখ
Jul 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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