Recent forecasts from agencies and models, including those projecting highs of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F) under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation, position 31°C as the modal outcome for Tokyo’s September 2 maximum. Persistent late-summer humidity and warm advection from the south maintain elevated readings near the upper end of early-September climatology (historical averages near 28–30°C), while the absence of strong frontal passages or typhoon influences limits cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 31°C and 24.5% for 30°C, aggregates these stable model runs ahead of an expected shift to wetter, cooler conditions after September 3; any upward revision in afternoon insolation or downward adjustment in boundary-layer moisture could narrow the distribution toward 32°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
31°C 48%
30°C 24%
32°C 14%
29°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
48%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 24%
32°C 14%
29°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
48%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models, including those projecting highs of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F) under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation, position 31°C as the modal outcome for Tokyo’s September 2 maximum. Persistent late-summer humidity and warm advection from the south maintain elevated readings near the upper end of early-September climatology (historical averages near 28–30°C), while the absence of strong frontal passages or typhoon influences limits cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 31°C and 24.5% for 30°C, aggregates these stable model runs ahead of an expected shift to wetter, cooler conditions after September 3; any upward revision in afternoon insolation or downward adjustment in boundary-layer moisture could narrow the distribution toward 32°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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