Recent forecasts from major models place Warsaw's August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can shift highs by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August normals sit around 22–23 °C, so current conditions align with typical variability rather than extremes, keeping the 25 °C+ bucket at a lower but non-negligible implied probability. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of the event window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 20?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 20?
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C or higher 22%
22°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 20, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
33%
25°C or higher
22%
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C or higher 22%
22°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 20, 2026
15°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$13 Vol.
1%
21°C
$4 Vol.
4%
22°C
$49 Vol.
9%
23°C
$31 Vol.
31%
24°C
$73 Vol.
33%
25°C or higher
$60 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models place Warsaw's August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can shift highs by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August normals sit around 22–23 °C, so current conditions align with typical variability rather than extremes, keeping the 25 °C+ bucket at a lower but non-negligible implied probability. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of the event window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,096শেষ তারিখ
Aug 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models place Warsaw's August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can shift highs by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August normals sit around 22–23 °C, so current conditions align with typical variability rather than extremes, keeping the 25 °C+ bucket at a lower but non-negligible implied probability. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of the event window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,096শেষ তারিখ
Aug 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models place Warsaw's August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under a mix of sun and cloud with light winds, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can shift highs by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August normals sit around 22–23 °C, so current conditions align with typical variability rather than extremes, keeping the 25 °C+ bucket at a lower but non-negligible implied probability. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of the event window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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