Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 14?
26°C 44%
25°C 31%
27°C 19.1%
24°C 8.4%
$28,314 Vol.
$28,314 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
31%
26°C
44%
27°C
19%
28°C or higher
2%
26°C 44%
25°C 31%
27°C 19.1%
24°C 8.4%
$28,314 Vol.
$28,314 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
31%
26°C
44%
27°C
19%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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