Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 5?
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 5, 2026
24°C or below
$52 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$394 Vol.
1%
26°C
$422 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
4%
28°C
$177 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,028 Vol.
36%
30°C
$3,034 Vol.
22%
31°C
$201 Vol.
6%
32°C
$311 Vol.
4%
33°C
$369 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,296শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$6,296শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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