**The market for Khamenei posts from August 4–11, 2026, assigns the highest probabilities to low totals (<5 at 58%, 5-9 at 32%, 10-14 at 12%), reflecting trader consensus on the account’s established low-volume pattern.** The primary driver is the @khamenei_ir account’s recent cadence of one to two quote-style posts per day featuring archived statements on Arbaeen observances and resistance themes. This steady but limited output continued into early August without acceleration from breaking political or military developments. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate account has shown even lower activity in the same window. Institutional continuity after Ali Khamenei’s 2026 death favors scheduled religious content over high-frequency updates, with no scheduled events or escalations in the resolution period expected to alter that rhythm. Higher bins receive minimal probability because historical posting rates and the absence of catalytic news make double-digit totals unlikely within the eight-day span.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 58%
5-9 32%
10-14 13%
20-24 1.2%
$13,857 Vol.
$13,857 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
<5
58%
5-9
32%
10-14
13%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 58%
5-9 32%
10-14 13%
20-24 1.2%
$13,857 Vol.
$13,857 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
<5
$3,468 Vol.
58%
5-9
$3,171 Vol.
32%
10-14
$1,521 Vol.
13%
15-19
$765 Vol.
1%
20-24
$689 Vol.
1%
25-29
$647 Vol.
1%
30-34
$486 Vol.
1%
35-39
$470 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$506 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$431 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$580 Vol.
1%
55-59
$541 Vol.
<1%
60+
$580 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market for Khamenei posts from August 4–11, 2026, assigns the highest probabilities to low totals (<5 at 58%, 5-9 at 32%, 10-14 at 12%), reflecting trader consensus on the account’s established low-volume pattern.**
The primary driver is the @khamenei_ir account’s recent cadence of one to two quote-style posts per day featuring archived statements on Arbaeen observances and resistance themes. This steady but limited output continued into early August without acceleration from breaking political or military developments.
Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate account has shown even lower activity in the same window. Institutional continuity after Ali Khamenei’s 2026 death favors scheduled religious content over high-frequency updates, with no scheduled events or escalations in the resolution period expected to alter that rhythm. Higher bins receive minimal probability because historical posting rates and the absence of catalytic news make double-digit totals unlikely within the eight-day span.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ভলিউম
$13,857শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market for Khamenei posts from August 4–11, 2026, assigns the highest probabilities to low totals (<5 at 58%, 5-9 at 32%, 10-14 at 12%), reflecting trader consensus on the account’s established low-volume pattern.**
The primary driver is the @khamenei_ir account’s recent cadence of one to two quote-style posts per day featuring archived statements on Arbaeen observances and resistance themes. This steady but limited output continued into early August without acceleration from breaking political or military developments.
Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate account has shown even lower activity in the same window. Institutional continuity after Ali Khamenei’s 2026 death favors scheduled religious content over high-frequency updates, with no scheduled events or escalations in the resolution period expected to alter that rhythm. Higher bins receive minimal probability because historical posting rates and the absence of catalytic news make double-digit totals unlikely within the eight-day span.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$13,857শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market for Khamenei posts from August 4–11, 2026, assigns the highest probabilities to low totals (<5 at 58%, 5-9 at 32%, 10-14 at 12%), reflecting trader consensus on the account’s established low-volume pattern.** The primary driver is the @khamenei_ir account’s recent cadence of one to two quote-style posts per day featuring archived statements on Arbaeen observances and resistance themes. This steady but limited output continued into early August without acceleration from breaking political or military developments. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate account has shown even lower activity in the same window. Institutional continuity after Ali Khamenei’s 2026 death favors scheduled religious content over high-frequency updates, with no scheduled events or escalations in the resolution period expected to alter that rhythm. Higher bins receive minimal probability because historical posting rates and the absence of catalytic news make double-digit totals unlikely within the eight-day span.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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