The account associated with the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in early 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, continues to post archival statements and historical quotes rather than new content from the current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent activity on @khamenei_ir has consisted primarily of occasional reposts tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with posting frequency in late July and early August remaining sparse—often just a handful of items per week. This pattern, combined with the absence of live speeches or official announcements from the deceased leader, has shaped trader consensus around limited volume during the August 7–14 window. Scheduled religious events or regime commemorations could modestly increase output, yet structural constraints from the leadership transition continue to anchor probabilities on the lower end of the distribution.