**Traders price a low posting volume for Mojtaba Khamenei’s account(s) during July 31–August 7 because the new Supreme Leader has maintained a deliberately restrained public profile since succeeding his father.** Official accounts such as @MKhamenei_ir and earlier Persian/English handles show infrequent activity overall, consistent with reports that he has avoided in-person appearances and limited media exposure while consolidating influence over institutions like the Supreme National Security Council. The August 3 reports of his reported warning to President Pezeshkian against resignation threats and efforts to curb pragmatist influence highlight ongoing internal maneuvering amid post-conflict sensitivities, which typically correlate with measured rather than frequent social-media output. The 73% probability on 5–9 posts and 27.6% on 10–14 reflect this pattern of selective statements rather than daily engagement, with only marginal odds assigned to higher volumes that would require a sudden increase in visibility. No major scheduled public events or diplomatic announcements are currently positioned to drive a sharp deviation within the resolution window.