Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for a Kylie Jenner pregnancy confirmation in 2026, driven by the complete absence of any official announcement or verified public statement midway through the year. A viral early May hoax featuring a fake ultrasound image purportedly announcing a baby with Timothée Chalamet—"Timothée Jr."—was swiftly debunked by fact-checkers and media outlets, failing to generate sustained momentum. In her May 13 appearance on the "Therapuss" podcast, Jenner reflected candidly on past pregnancies with Stormi and Aire, including bed rest complications and family reactions, but offered no hints of current expectations. While celebrity personal lives remain unpredictable and she has teased future family plans, the lack of credible signals leaves little room for traders to anticipate a late-2026 reveal.