The near-certainty around "No" at 98.7% stems from the market's tight window ending December 31, 2026, and the total absence of any verified signs, global events, or official announcements that could credibly signal a return. Traders treat resolution as requiring extraordinary, observable proof that has never materialized in two millennia of recorded history, creating overwhelming consensus backed by real capital. Cultural narratives around end-times themes in film, music, and streaming continue to thrive as entertainment, yet they exert zero measurable pull on this outcome. The only realistic upset would involve an unprecedented, widely documented worldwide phenomenon before year-end, an event with no credible precedent or current indicators.