Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across several outcomes for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 14, with 15°C, 13°C, 10°C or below, and 14°C each near 27–28 percent, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Global and regional models diverge primarily on the timing and intensity of cold air advection from the south Atlantic, overnight cloud cover, and local wind patterns that influence radiational cooling in the city’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current provides a moderating baseline, yet September spring variability often produces 3–5°C spreads in minimum temperature guidance. Fresh ensemble runs from the South African Weather Service and updates from ECMWF or GFS later today represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 14?
10°C or below 54%
12°C 39%
18°C 39%
15°C 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
54%
11°C
18%
12°C
39%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
39%
19°C
17%
20°C or higher
2%
10°C or below 54%
12°C 39%
18°C 39%
15°C 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
54%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$206 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C or higher
$40 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across several outcomes for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 14, with 15°C, 13°C, 10°C or below, and 14°C each near 27–28 percent, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Global and regional models diverge primarily on the timing and intensity of cold air advection from the south Atlantic, overnight cloud cover, and local wind patterns that influence radiational cooling in the city’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current provides a moderating baseline, yet September spring variability often produces 3–5°C spreads in minimum temperature guidance. Fresh ensemble runs from the South African Weather Service and updates from ECMWF or GFS later today represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$246শেষ তারিখ
Sep 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across several outcomes for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 14, with 15°C, 13°C, 10°C or below, and 14°C each near 27–28 percent, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Global and regional models diverge primarily on the timing and intensity of cold air advection from the south Atlantic, overnight cloud cover, and local wind patterns that influence radiational cooling in the city’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current provides a moderating baseline, yet September spring variability often produces 3–5°C spreads in minimum temperature guidance. Fresh ensemble runs from the South African Weather Service and updates from ECMWF or GFS later today represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$246শেষ তারিখ
Sep 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across several outcomes for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 14, with 15°C, 13°C, 10°C or below, and 14°C each near 27–28 percent, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Global and regional models diverge primarily on the timing and intensity of cold air advection from the south Atlantic, overnight cloud cover, and local wind patterns that influence radiational cooling in the city’s Mediterranean climate. The Benguela Current provides a moderating baseline, yet September spring variability often produces 3–5°C spreads in minimum temperature guidance. Fresh ensemble runs from the South African Weather Service and updates from ECMWF or GFS later today represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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