Persistent cloud cover and showers from residual moisture associated with the weakening remnants of Typhoon Saudel (now a low-pressure area northwest of Hong Kong) are the main factors limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26°C on August 31. High humidity levels (80–95%) and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on unsettled conditions with 60–80% rain probability, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered between 25–27°C as traders weigh model consensus on exact cooling under these conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
26°C 41%
25°C 32%
27°C 19%
24°C 6%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
32%
26°C
41%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 32%
27°C 19%
24°C 6%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
32%
26°C
41%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers from residual moisture associated with the weakening remnants of Typhoon Saudel (now a low-pressure area northwest of Hong Kong) are the main factors limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26°C on August 31. High humidity levels (80–95%) and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on unsettled conditions with 60–80% rain probability, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered between 25–27°C as traders weigh model consensus on exact cooling under these conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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