Hong Kong's minimum temperature on July 12 is expected to fall in the upper-20s Celsius range under typical midsummer conditions of high humidity and scattered showers. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows near 29°C within a 29–33°C daily range, consistent with seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming. High moisture content and potential cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat effects further moderate drops. Trader probabilities cluster around 28–29°C because modest differences in wind, shower timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C; lower outcomes would require clearer, drier air or stronger advection, while warmer readings align with persistent cloud and humidity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables for market movement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 12?
28°C 49%
29°C 36%
27°C 14%
26°C 4.9%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
49%
29°C
36%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 36%
27°C 14%
26°C 4.9%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 12, 2026
23°C or below
$275 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$820 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$748 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$281 Vol.
5%
27°C
$159 Vol.
14%
28°C
$2,301 Vol.
49%
29°C
$755 Vol.
36%
30°C
$627 Vol.
1%
31°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$623 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's minimum temperature on July 12 is expected to fall in the upper-20s Celsius range under typical midsummer conditions of high humidity and scattered showers. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows near 29°C within a 29–33°C daily range, consistent with seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming. High moisture content and potential cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat effects further moderate drops. Trader probabilities cluster around 28–29°C because modest differences in wind, shower timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C; lower outcomes would require clearer, drier air or stronger advection, while warmer readings align with persistent cloud and humidity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,895শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's minimum temperature on July 12 is expected to fall in the upper-20s Celsius range under typical midsummer conditions of high humidity and scattered showers. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows near 29°C within a 29–33°C daily range, consistent with seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming. High moisture content and potential cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat effects further moderate drops. Trader probabilities cluster around 28–29°C because modest differences in wind, shower timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C; lower outcomes would require clearer, drier air or stronger advection, while warmer readings align with persistent cloud and humidity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$6,895শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's minimum temperature on July 12 is expected to fall in the upper-20s Celsius range under typical midsummer conditions of high humidity and scattered showers. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight lows near 29°C within a 29–33°C daily range, consistent with seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming. High moisture content and potential cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat effects further moderate drops. Trader probabilities cluster around 28–29°C because modest differences in wind, shower timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C; lower outcomes would require clearer, drier air or stronger advection, while warmer readings align with persistent cloud and humidity. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours remain the key variables for market movement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা