Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on August 22 will likely fall between 16–19 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This clustering of guidance around 17–19 °C explains the tight market spread, with 18 °C holding the highest implied probability. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise timing of radiative cooling after sunset, local urban heat-island effects, and minor discrepancies between global and regional models. Historical August lows average near 18–21 °C, providing climatological context, while the short forecast horizon limits major shifts unless a new model run revises boundary-layer conditions overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
18°C 36%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
30%
18°C
36%
19°C
34%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 36%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
30%
18°C
36%
19°C
34%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on August 22 will likely fall between 16–19 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This clustering of guidance around 17–19 °C explains the tight market spread, with 18 °C holding the highest implied probability. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise timing of radiative cooling after sunset, local urban heat-island effects, and minor discrepancies between global and regional models. Historical August lows average near 18–21 °C, providing climatological context, while the short forecast horizon limits major shifts unless a new model run revises boundary-layer conditions overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা