Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 2 near the historical average low of 12.1°C, driven by partly cloudy to clear skies overnight, light variable winds under 5 mph, and moderate humidity that limits rapid radiative cooling after daytime highs of 22–25°C. Stable high pressure supports this mild pattern without significant cold advection or cloud cover to retain heat. Trader sentiment remains balanced across 9–14°C outcomes because small shifts in timing of any clearing or wind changes could alter the exact low by 1–2°C, while probabilities drop sharply above 15°C or below 9°C given the absence of unusual synoptic features in current runs. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these thresholds.