Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on July 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 14?
20°C or below 83%
22°C 12.9%
21°C 8%
23°C 1.0%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
83%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 83%
22°C 12.9%
21°C 8%
23°C 1.0%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
$395 Vol.
83%
21°C
$702 Vol.
8%
22°C
$386 Vol.
8%
23°C
$335 Vol.
1%
24°C
$446 Vol.
1%
25°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$438 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,830শেষ তারিখ
Jul 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,830শেষ তারিখ
Jul 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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