**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a daily minimum temperature near 22–24°C on July 2, 2026, driven by the transition out of the East Asian monsoon/plum rain period and lingering cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling.** Typical early-July climatology features overnight lows averaging 24–26°C under humid subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often >75%) and frequent light rain or drizzle moderating temperature swings. Current extended-range guidance from global models shows a modest dip in minimums due to increased cloudiness and possible scattered showers on July 1–2, keeping the lowest reading from climbing above 25°C while also preventing a sharper drop below 20°C. This setup explains the strong market weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) alongside elevated odds for 23°C and 24°C, while lower-probability tails (19°C or below) reflect historical variability during the season’s transition. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance, will be the key catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 2?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 2?
22°C 50%
23°C 21%
24°C 21%
21°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 2, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
50%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 50%
23°C 21%
24°C 21%
21°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 2, 2026
17°C or below
$280 Vol.
1%
18°C
$122 Vol.
2%
19°C
$125 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$97 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$13 Vol.
3%
26°C
$159 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$1,051 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a daily minimum temperature near 22–24°C on July 2, 2026, driven by the transition out of the East Asian monsoon/plum rain period and lingering cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling.**
Typical early-July climatology features overnight lows averaging 24–26°C under humid subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often >75%) and frequent light rain or drizzle moderating temperature swings. Current extended-range guidance from global models shows a modest dip in minimums due to increased cloudiness and possible scattered showers on July 1–2, keeping the lowest reading from climbing above 25°C while also preventing a sharper drop below 20°C.
This setup explains the strong market weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) alongside elevated odds for 23°C and 24°C, while lower-probability tails (19°C or below) reflect historical variability during the season’s transition. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance, will be the key catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,847শেষ তারিখ
Jul 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a daily minimum temperature near 22–24°C on July 2, 2026, driven by the transition out of the East Asian monsoon/plum rain period and lingering cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling.**
Typical early-July climatology features overnight lows averaging 24–26°C under humid subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often >75%) and frequent light rain or drizzle moderating temperature swings. Current extended-range guidance from global models shows a modest dip in minimums due to increased cloudiness and possible scattered showers on July 1–2, keeping the lowest reading from climbing above 25°C while also preventing a sharper drop below 20°C.
This setup explains the strong market weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) alongside elevated odds for 23°C and 24°C, while lower-probability tails (19°C or below) reflect historical variability during the season’s transition. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance, will be the key catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,847শেষ তারিখ
Jul 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a daily minimum temperature near 22–24°C on July 2, 2026, driven by the transition out of the East Asian monsoon/plum rain period and lingering cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling.** Typical early-July climatology features overnight lows averaging 24–26°C under humid subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often >75%) and frequent light rain or drizzle moderating temperature swings. Current extended-range guidance from global models shows a modest dip in minimums due to increased cloudiness and possible scattered showers on July 1–2, keeping the lowest reading from climbing above 25°C while also preventing a sharper drop below 20°C. This setup explains the strong market weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) alongside elevated odds for 23°C and 24°C, while lower-probability tails (19°C or below) reflect historical variability during the season’s transition. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance, will be the key catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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