Montana's status as a reliably Republican state, combined with unified party backing for nominee Kurt Alme, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Alme secured the nomination with over 76% in the June primary after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him, bolstered by President Trump's backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRepublican 93%
Independent 3.8%
Democrat <1%
$111,460 Vol.
$111,460 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Independent
4%
Democrat
1%
Republican 93%
Independent 3.8%
Democrat <1%
$111,460 Vol.
$111,460 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$55,889 Vol.
93%
Independent
$15,409 Vol.
4%
Democrat
$40,162 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's status as a reliably Republican state, combined with unified party backing for nominee Kurt Alme, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Alme secured the nomination with over 76% in the June primary after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him, bolstered by President Trump's backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$111,460শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's status as a reliably Republican state, combined with unified party backing for nominee Kurt Alme, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Alme secured the nomination with over 76% in the June primary after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him, bolstered by President Trump's backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$111,460শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's status as a reliably Republican state, combined with unified party backing for nominee Kurt Alme, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Alme secured the nomination with over 76% in the June primary after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew and endorsed him, bolstered by President Trump's backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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