Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with native vision, a 1-million-token context window, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has reset expectations for the next release in the series. The model quickly reached hosted availability and open weights under a custom license, posting frontier-level benchmarks that trail only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while outperforming rivals on coding and agentic tasks. With no official announcements or credible leaks about Kimi K4 in the subsequent six weeks, traders are weighing typical Chinese lab iteration cycles of two to four months against Moonshot’s recent $500 million funding round and the competitive pressure from U.S. labs. Upcoming catalysts include any technical reports, API pricing updates, or developer-conference mentions that could signal the next model’s timeline or feature set.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$14,942 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15, 2026
5%
September 30, 2026
95%
December 31, 2026
99%
$14,942 Vol.
September 15, 2026
$1,471 Vol.
5%
September 30, 2026
$9,356 Vol.
95%
December 31, 2026
$2,188 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with native vision, a 1-million-token context window, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has reset expectations for the next release in the series. The model quickly reached hosted availability and open weights under a custom license, posting frontier-level benchmarks that trail only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while outperforming rivals on coding and agentic tasks. With no official announcements or credible leaks about Kimi K4 in the subsequent six weeks, traders are weighing typical Chinese lab iteration cycles of two to four months against Moonshot’s recent $500 million funding round and the competitive pressure from U.S. labs. Upcoming catalysts include any technical reports, API pricing updates, or developer-conference mentions that could signal the next model’s timeline or feature set.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,942শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with native vision, a 1-million-token context window, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has reset expectations for the next release in the series. The model quickly reached hosted availability and open weights under a custom license, posting frontier-level benchmarks that trail only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while outperforming rivals on coding and agentic tasks. With no official announcements or credible leaks about Kimi K4 in the subsequent six weeks, traders are weighing typical Chinese lab iteration cycles of two to four months against Moonshot’s recent $500 million funding round and the competitive pressure from U.S. labs. Upcoming catalysts include any technical reports, API pricing updates, or developer-conference mentions that could signal the next model’s timeline or feature set.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$14,942শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE model with native vision, a 1-million-token context window, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has reset expectations for the next release in the series. The model quickly reached hosted availability and open weights under a custom license, posting frontier-level benchmarks that trail only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while outperforming rivals on coding and agentic tasks. With no official announcements or credible leaks about Kimi K4 in the subsequent six weeks, traders are weighing typical Chinese lab iteration cycles of two to four months against Moonshot’s recent $500 million funding round and the competitive pressure from U.S. labs. Upcoming catalysts include any technical reports, API pricing updates, or developer-conference mentions that could signal the next model’s timeline or feature set.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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