Swiss voters will decide four federal measures on November 29, 2026, through the country’s system of mandatory and optional referendums: a constitutional amendment raising VAT to finance a thirteenth AHV pension payment, a popular initiative restricting fireworks sales and use, a Centre Party initiative ending the federal tax marriage penalty via joint taxation, and an amendment to the War Material Act easing arms export rules to certain partner states even during conflicts. Trader sentiment has centered on the war material change as the leading outcome, reflecting sustained attention to Swiss neutrality doctrine, European security alignments since 2022, and parliamentary debates over export flexibility. The September 27 neutrality and food initiatives provide recent precedent, with polls indicating likely rejection of stricter neutrality rules. No major new polling or campaign shifts for the November package have emerged in the past month, leaving outcomes dependent on turnout, cantonal majorities where required, and voter prioritization among pension funding, public nuisance, tax equity, and defense policy.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVAT federal decree
70%
Fireworks restriction initiative
32%
Marriage taxation initiative
18%
War Material amendment
41%
$8,529 Vol.
VAT federal decree
70%
Fireworks restriction initiative
32%
Marriage taxation initiative
18%
War Material amendment
41%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide four federal measures on November 29, 2026, through the country’s system of mandatory and optional referendums: a constitutional amendment raising VAT to finance a thirteenth AHV pension payment, a popular initiative restricting fireworks sales and use, a Centre Party initiative ending the federal tax marriage penalty via joint taxation, and an amendment to the War Material Act easing arms export rules to certain partner states even during conflicts. Trader sentiment has centered on the war material change as the leading outcome, reflecting sustained attention to Swiss neutrality doctrine, European security alignments since 2022, and parliamentary debates over export flexibility. The September 27 neutrality and food initiatives provide recent precedent, with polls indicating likely rejection of stricter neutrality rules. No major new polling or campaign shifts for the November package have emerged in the past month, leaving outcomes dependent on turnout, cantonal majorities where required, and voter prioritization among pension funding, public nuisance, tax equity, and defense policy.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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