President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15 has boosted trader consensus to 74% for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting momentum from preparatory talks between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Seoul. Amid a fragile truce suspending heightened reciprocal tariffs—originally imposed at up to 145% on Chinese goods and matched by Beijing—until November 2026, negotiators are weighing cuts on $30 billion in non-sensitive imports alongside issues like Taiwan arms sales and Iran tensions. Prior Geneva consultations in May 2025 established a trade platform, but Supreme Court rulings curbing some executive tariff actions have pressured for diplomatic resolution, with markets anticipating modest de-escalation before the deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$42,275 Vol.
$42,275 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$42,275 Vol.
$42,275 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15 has boosted trader consensus to 74% for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting momentum from preparatory talks between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Seoul. Amid a fragile truce suspending heightened reciprocal tariffs—originally imposed at up to 145% on Chinese goods and matched by Beijing—until November 2026, negotiators are weighing cuts on $30 billion in non-sensitive imports alongside issues like Taiwan arms sales and Iran tensions. Prior Geneva consultations in May 2025 established a trade platform, but Supreme Court rulings curbing some executive tariff actions have pressured for diplomatic resolution, with markets anticipating modest de-escalation before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$42,275শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15 has boosted trader consensus to 74% for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting momentum from preparatory talks between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Seoul. Amid a fragile truce suspending heightened reciprocal tariffs—originally imposed at up to 145% on Chinese goods and matched by Beijing—until November 2026, negotiators are weighing cuts on $30 billion in non-sensitive imports alongside issues like Taiwan arms sales and Iran tensions. Prior Geneva consultations in May 2025 established a trade platform, but Supreme Court rulings curbing some executive tariff actions have pressured for diplomatic resolution, with markets anticipating modest de-escalation before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ভলিউম
$42,275শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15 has boosted trader consensus to 74% for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting momentum from preparatory talks between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng in Seoul. Amid a fragile truce suspending heightened reciprocal tariffs—originally imposed at up to 145% on Chinese goods and matched by Beijing—until November 2026, negotiators are weighing cuts on $30 billion in non-sensitive imports alongside issues like Taiwan arms sales and Iran tensions. Prior Geneva consultations in May 2025 established a trade platform, but Supreme Court rulings curbing some executive tariff actions have pressured for diplomatic resolution, with markets anticipating modest de-escalation before the deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা