Recent polls for Victoria’s November 2026 state election show a tight three-way primary vote contest among Labor, the Liberal-National Coalition, and One Nation, with the latter consistently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and occasionally challenging the majors. This positioning underpins trader consensus that One Nation is the clear frontrunner for third place. One Nation’s rise reflects voter fragmentation on the right and dissatisfaction with the two major parties, as evidenced by multiple surveys through mid-2026. The Greens and smaller groups such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice trail well behind in primary support, lowering their prospects for third. Scheduled events including further polling releases and preference negotiations ahead of the November 28 ballot remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVictoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
One Nation 74%
Labor 23%
Greens 3.7%
Legalise Cannabis 3.7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 28, 2026
One Nation
74%
Labor
23%
Greens
4%
Legalise Cannabis
4%
Libertarian
4%
Liberal–National
4%
Animal Justice
4%
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
3%
One Nation 74%
Labor 23%
Greens 3.7%
Legalise Cannabis 3.7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 28, 2026
One Nation
$0 Vol.
74%
Labor
$4 Vol.
23%
Greens
$0 Vol.
4%
Legalise Cannabis
$0 Vol.
4%
Libertarian
$0 Vol.
4%
Liberal–National
$0 Vol.
4%
Animal Justice
$0 Vol.
4%
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
$0 Vol.
3%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polls for Victoria’s November 2026 state election show a tight three-way primary vote contest among Labor, the Liberal-National Coalition, and One Nation, with the latter consistently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and occasionally challenging the majors. This positioning underpins trader consensus that One Nation is the clear frontrunner for third place. One Nation’s rise reflects voter fragmentation on the right and dissatisfaction with the two major parties, as evidenced by multiple surveys through mid-2026. The Greens and smaller groups such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice trail well behind in primary support, lowering their prospects for third. Scheduled events including further polling releases and preference negotiations ahead of the November 28 ballot remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4শেষ তারিখ
Nov 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polls for Victoria’s November 2026 state election show a tight three-way primary vote contest among Labor, the Liberal-National Coalition, and One Nation, with the latter consistently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and occasionally challenging the majors. This positioning underpins trader consensus that One Nation is the clear frontrunner for third place. One Nation’s rise reflects voter fragmentation on the right and dissatisfaction with the two major parties, as evidenced by multiple surveys through mid-2026. The Greens and smaller groups such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice trail well behind in primary support, lowering their prospects for third. Scheduled events including further polling releases and preference negotiations ahead of the November 28 ballot remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
ভলিউম
$4শেষ তারিখ
Nov 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Victoria’s November 2026 state election show a tight three-way primary vote contest among Labor, the Liberal-National Coalition, and One Nation, with the latter consistently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and occasionally challenging the majors. This positioning underpins trader consensus that One Nation is the clear frontrunner for third place. One Nation’s rise reflects voter fragmentation on the right and dissatisfaction with the two major parties, as evidenced by multiple surveys through mid-2026. The Greens and smaller groups such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice trail well behind in primary support, lowering their prospects for third. Scheduled events including further polling releases and preference negotiations ahead of the November 28 ballot remain the main variables that could alter the ordering.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
59%
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?
63%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
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