Strong summer blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Toy Story 5, The Odyssey, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have propelled 2026 domestic revenue to $6.2 billion through early August, up 15% year-over-year and tracking toward the strongest post-pandemic total. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the tight 43–45% implied probabilities across mid-to-high historical ranks, with uncertainty centered on fall and holiday releases plus the gap between premium ticket pricing and lower overall attendance compared with pre-2020 peaks. Key swing factors include whether late-quarter tentpoles can sustain the current pace without a major slowdown.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
6th or higher 45%
Below 15th 44%
13th-15th 44%
10th-12th 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
45%
7th-9th
43%
10th-12th
43%
13th-15th
44%
Below 15th
44%
6th or higher 45%
Below 15th 44%
13th-15th 44%
10th-12th 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$0 Vol.
45%
7th-9th
$0 Vol.
43%
10th-12th
$0 Vol.
43%
13th-15th
$0 Vol.
44%
Below 15th
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Toy Story 5, The Odyssey, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have propelled 2026 domestic revenue to $6.2 billion through early August, up 15% year-over-year and tracking toward the strongest post-pandemic total. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the tight 43–45% implied probabilities across mid-to-high historical ranks, with uncertainty centered on fall and holiday releases plus the gap between premium ticket pricing and lower overall attendance compared with pre-2020 peaks. Key swing factors include whether late-quarter tentpoles can sustain the current pace without a major slowdown.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Toy Story 5, The Odyssey, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have propelled 2026 domestic revenue to $6.2 billion through early August, up 15% year-over-year and tracking toward the strongest post-pandemic total. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the tight 43–45% implied probabilities across mid-to-high historical ranks, with uncertainty centered on fall and holiday releases plus the gap between premium ticket pricing and lower overall attendance compared with pre-2020 peaks. Key swing factors include whether late-quarter tentpoles can sustain the current pace without a major slowdown.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong summer blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Toy Story 5, The Odyssey, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have propelled 2026 domestic revenue to $6.2 billion through early August, up 15% year-over-year and tracking toward the strongest post-pandemic total. Trader consensus reflects this momentum in the tight 43–45% implied probabilities across mid-to-high historical ranks, with uncertainty centered on fall and holiday releases plus the gap between premium ticket pricing and lower overall attendance compared with pre-2020 peaks. Key swing factors include whether late-quarter tentpoles can sustain the current pace without a major slowdown.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা