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icon for Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

icon for Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

$62,628 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$62,628 Vol.

Polymarket

Texas

$7,129 Vol.

84%

Kansas

$556 Vol.

71%

Alaska

$2,789 Vol.

68%

Michigan

$2,735 Vol.

62%

Iowa

$5,645 Vol.

62%

Ohio (Special)

$3,936 Vol.

57%

Maine

$1,020 Vol.

53%

New Hampshire

$2,352 Vol.

60%

Nebraska

$3,687 Vol.

47%

South Carolina

$109 Vol.

42%

Georgia

$1,394 Vol.

27%

Florida (Special)

$2,450 Vol.

25%

Minnesota

$9,715 Vol.

21%

North Carolina

$5,584 Vol.

13%

New Mexico

$6,665 Vol.

12%

Montana

$2,919 Vol.

9%

Virginia

$1,344 Vol.

4%

Colorado

$2,599 Vol.

4%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests poll within or near a five-point margin, reflecting a closely divided national environment eight weeks before Election Day. Low presidential approval amid inflation concerns, tariff impacts, and foreign policy developments has boosted Democratic prospects in states such as Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Alaska. Open seats in Michigan and North Carolina, along with Republican-held battlegrounds like Maine featuring incumbent Susan Collins, amplify uncertainty. Recent polling averages show margins under three points in multiple races, with candidate recruitment, primary outcomes, and turnout patterns in swing areas likely to determine final spreads. Key Senate control hinges on whether Democrats achieve net gains of four seats.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$62,628
শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests poll within or near a five-point margin, reflecting a closely divided national environment eight weeks before Election Day. Low presidential approval amid inflation concerns, tariff impacts, and foreign policy developments has boosted Democratic prospects in states such as Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Alaska. Open seats in Michigan and North Carolina, along with Republican-held battlegrounds like Maine featuring incumbent Susan Collins, amplify uncertainty. Recent polling averages show margins under three points in multiple races, with candidate recruitment, primary outcomes, and turnout patterns in swing areas likely to determine final spreads. Key Senate control hinges on whether Democrats achieve net gains of four seats.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$62,628
শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070BE91...

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Which Senate races will be within 5%?" হলো Polymarket-এ 18 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "Texas" 84%-এ, তারপর "Kansas" 71%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "Which Senate races will be within 5%?" মোট $62.6K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Jul 29, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"Which Senate races will be within 5%?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 18 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Which Senate races will be within 5%?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "Texas" 84%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 84% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "Kansas" 71%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Which Senate races will be within 5%?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।