Recent polling aggregates and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests tightening due to a national environment favoring Democrats, with generic ballot leads of 7-8 points and President Trump's approval ratings near 40 percent amid economic pressures. Key battlegrounds include Republican-held seats in Texas, Ohio (special election), Maine, Alaska, and Iowa, where margins hover near or below 5 points in recent surveys, alongside open or competitive races in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire. Candidate recruitment, incumbency advantages, and state-specific turnout patterns in these battlegrounds drive the potential for close outcomes, with Democrats needing a net gain of about four seats for majority control. Election Day on November 3 leaves limited time for further shifts from campaign events or late polling movements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$65,519 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
81%
Alaska
70%
Iowa
69%
Kansas
63%
Michigan
57%
Ohio (Special)
56%
Nebraska
43%
New Hampshire
39%
South Carolina
35%
North Carolina
28%
Florida (Special)
25%
Maine
43%
Minnesota
23%
Georgia
20%
New Mexico
13%
Montana
10%
Virginia
4%
Colorado
4%
$65,519 Vol.
Texas
$7,280 Vol.
81%
Alaska
$2,853 Vol.
70%
Iowa
$5,840 Vol.
69%
Kansas
$571 Vol.
63%
Michigan
$3,054 Vol.
57%
Ohio (Special)
$3,967 Vol.
56%
Nebraska
$3,809 Vol.
43%
New Hampshire
$2,422 Vol.
39%
South Carolina
$109 Vol.
35%
North Carolina
$5,817 Vol.
28%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 Vol.
25%
Maine
$1,119 Vol.
43%
Minnesota
$10,369 Vol.
23%
Georgia
$2,057 Vol.
20%
New Mexico
$6,665 Vol.
13%
Montana
$3,190 Vol.
10%
Virginia
$1,344 Vol.
4%
Colorado
$2,599 Vol.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling aggregates and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests tightening due to a national environment favoring Democrats, with generic ballot leads of 7-8 points and President Trump's approval ratings near 40 percent amid economic pressures. Key battlegrounds include Republican-held seats in Texas, Ohio (special election), Maine, Alaska, and Iowa, where margins hover near or below 5 points in recent surveys, alongside open or competitive races in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire. Candidate recruitment, incumbency advantages, and state-specific turnout patterns in these battlegrounds drive the potential for close outcomes, with Democrats needing a net gain of about four seats for majority control. Election Day on November 3 leaves limited time for further shifts from campaign events or late polling movements.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$65,519শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling aggregates and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests tightening due to a national environment favoring Democrats, with generic ballot leads of 7-8 points and President Trump's approval ratings near 40 percent amid economic pressures. Key battlegrounds include Republican-held seats in Texas, Ohio (special election), Maine, Alaska, and Iowa, where margins hover near or below 5 points in recent surveys, alongside open or competitive races in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire. Candidate recruitment, incumbency advantages, and state-specific turnout patterns in these battlegrounds drive the potential for close outcomes, with Democrats needing a net gain of about four seats for majority control. Election Day on November 3 leaves limited time for further shifts from campaign events or late polling movements.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$65,519শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests tightening due to a national environment favoring Democrats, with generic ballot leads of 7-8 points and President Trump's approval ratings near 40 percent amid economic pressures. Key battlegrounds include Republican-held seats in Texas, Ohio (special election), Maine, Alaska, and Iowa, where margins hover near or below 5 points in recent surveys, alongside open or competitive races in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire. Candidate recruitment, incumbency advantages, and state-specific turnout patterns in these battlegrounds drive the potential for close outcomes, with Democrats needing a net gain of about four seats for majority control. Election Day on November 3 leaves limited time for further shifts from campaign events or late polling movements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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