Rising US-China tensions and regulatory risks from CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list have kept the market-implied odds of an Apple purchase at 81% for “No” in 2026. Apple has lobbied the Trump administration since at least June for assurances against Entity List addition while testing CXMT DRAM for China-market devices amid AI-driven shortages that quadrupled some memory prices, but no supply agreement has been confirmed. Political pushback from lawmakers, uncertain licensing requirements, and CXMT’s limited uncommitted capacity through 2027 continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any deal dependent on last-minute policy shifts before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড19% সম্ভাবনা
$21,868 Vol.
$21,868 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
19% সম্ভাবনা
$21,868 Vol.
$21,868 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising US-China tensions and regulatory risks from CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list have kept the market-implied odds of an Apple purchase at 81% for “No” in 2026. Apple has lobbied the Trump administration since at least June for assurances against Entity List addition while testing CXMT DRAM for China-market devices amid AI-driven shortages that quadrupled some memory prices, but no supply agreement has been confirmed. Political pushback from lawmakers, uncertain licensing requirements, and CXMT’s limited uncommitted capacity through 2027 continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any deal dependent on last-minute policy shifts before year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
ভলিউম
$21,868শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising US-China tensions and regulatory risks from CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list have kept the market-implied odds of an Apple purchase at 81% for “No” in 2026. Apple has lobbied the Trump administration since at least June for assurances against Entity List addition while testing CXMT DRAM for China-market devices amid AI-driven shortages that quadrupled some memory prices, but no supply agreement has been confirmed. Political pushback from lawmakers, uncertain licensing requirements, and CXMT’s limited uncommitted capacity through 2027 continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any deal dependent on last-minute policy shifts before year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$21,868শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Rising US-China tensions and regulatory risks from CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list have kept the market-implied odds of an Apple purchase at 81% for “No” in 2026. Apple has lobbied the Trump administration since at least June for assurances against Entity List addition while testing CXMT DRAM for China-market devices amid AI-driven shortages that quadrupled some memory prices, but no supply agreement has been confirmed. Political pushback from lawmakers, uncertain licensing requirements, and CXMT’s limited uncommitted capacity through 2027 continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any deal dependent on last-minute policy shifts before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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