Russian forces have pursued incremental advances in northern Sumy Oblast throughout 2026 to establish a buffer zone, with disputed claims of seizing Myropillia in early May followed by Ukrainian denials that the settlement remains under their control. Independent assessments through mid-July found no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the immediate area, despite ongoing infiltration attempts and offensive operations farther from Sumy City. Ukrainian units have reported localized counteractions and territorial recoveries elsewhere along the front this year. Trader positioning on capture timelines through December 2026 reflects these stalled developments, Ukrainian defensive posture, and the absence of major escalatory shifts in the northeastern sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Russia capture Myropillia by...?
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?
$92,554 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
22%
$92,554 Vol.
December 31
$8,746 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.026680° N, 35.262808° E in Myropillia, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia1.png
Intersection Location in Myropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia2.png
Myropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/rxYpAiXxoUwi8tCbA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pursued incremental advances in northern Sumy Oblast throughout 2026 to establish a buffer zone, with disputed claims of seizing Myropillia in early May followed by Ukrainian denials that the settlement remains under their control. Independent assessments through mid-July found no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the immediate area, despite ongoing infiltration attempts and offensive operations farther from Sumy City. Ukrainian units have reported localized counteractions and territorial recoveries elsewhere along the front this year. Trader positioning on capture timelines through December 2026 reflects these stalled developments, Ukrainian defensive posture, and the absence of major escalatory shifts in the northeastern sector.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.026680° N, 35.262808° E in Myropillia, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia1.png
Intersection Location in Myropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia2.png
Myropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/rxYpAiXxoUwi8tCbA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia1.png
Intersection Location in Myropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia2.png
Myropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/rxYpAiXxoUwi8tCbA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 24, 2026, 9:59 PM ET
ভলিউম
$92,554শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 24, 2026, 9:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.026680° N, 35.262808° E in Myropillia, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia1.png
Intersection Location in Myropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia2.png
Myropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/rxYpAiXxoUwi8tCbA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pursued incremental advances in northern Sumy Oblast throughout 2026 to establish a buffer zone, with disputed claims of seizing Myropillia in early May followed by Ukrainian denials that the settlement remains under their control. Independent assessments through mid-July found no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the immediate area, despite ongoing infiltration attempts and offensive operations farther from Sumy City. Ukrainian units have reported localized counteractions and territorial recoveries elsewhere along the front this year. Trader positioning on capture timelines through December 2026 reflects these stalled developments, Ukrainian defensive posture, and the absence of major escalatory shifts in the northeastern sector.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.026680° N, 35.262808° E in Myropillia, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia1.png
Intersection Location in Myropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia2.png
Myropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/rxYpAiXxoUwi8tCbA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia1.png
Intersection Location in Myropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia2.png
Myropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Myropillia3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/rxYpAiXxoUwi8tCbA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$92,554শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 24, 2026, 9:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have pursued incremental advances in northern Sumy Oblast throughout 2026 to establish a buffer zone, with disputed claims of seizing Myropillia in early May followed by Ukrainian denials that the settlement remains under their control. Independent assessments through mid-July found no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the immediate area, despite ongoing infiltration attempts and offensive operations farther from Sumy City. Ukrainian units have reported localized counteractions and territorial recoveries elsewhere along the front this year. Trader positioning on capture timelines through December 2026 reflects these stalled developments, Ukrainian defensive posture, and the absence of major escalatory shifts in the northeastern sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা