Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults west of Orikhiv toward Prymorske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast but recorded no confirmed territorial gains in recent months, according to geolocated reports and ISW assessments. Ukrainian units have maintained or improved defensive positions through counterattacks, minefields, and drone strikes, reversing earlier Russian advances in the area by mid-2026. Ongoing artillery and glide-bomb exchanges continue without shifting control of the municipality. Trader consensus on low probabilities for full Russian capture by late-2026 deadlines reflects these stalled frontline dynamics, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and competing Russian priorities elsewhere along the front. Winter weather and force reallocations remain potential variables that could influence future movement.