The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with no verified diplomatic breakthrough or active negotiations producing a framework for territorial or security concessions, underpins trader consensus that a binding peace referendum will not occur before 2027. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for referendums on sovereignty issues, combined with sustained Western military aid and domestic political resistance to concessions, further reduce near-term prospects. Historical patterns of stalled talks and battlefield dynamics reinforce this view. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership changes in Kyiv or Moscow, major escalation or de-escalation on the front lines, or externally brokered proposals advancing to a vote within the narrow remaining window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$63,449 Vol.
$63,449 Vol.
$63,449 Vol.
$63,449 Vol.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with no verified diplomatic breakthrough or active negotiations producing a framework for territorial or security concessions, underpins trader consensus that a binding peace referendum will not occur before 2027. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for referendums on sovereignty issues, combined with sustained Western military aid and domestic political resistance to concessions, further reduce near-term prospects. Historical patterns of stalled talks and battlefield dynamics reinforce this view. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership changes in Kyiv or Moscow, major escalation or de-escalation on the front lines, or externally brokered proposals advancing to a vote within the narrow remaining window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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