Persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block any swift resolution, as evidenced by the Kremlin’s July 2026 statement ruling out immediate talks and the abrupt end of earlier trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Russia maintains expansive demands including control over additional regions beyond current lines, while Ukraine insists on robust, long-term Western security commitments without ceding sovereignty. Recent U.S. diplomatic proposals and Zelenskyy’s August 2026 submissions have yielded no breakthroughs amid renewed Russian strikes and stalled momentum following the Iran conflict. These entrenched positions and lack of verifiable progress sustain trader expectations that a signed deal remains unlikely before the end of 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড16% সম্ভাবনা
$2,554,856 Vol.
$2,554,856 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
16% সম্ভাবনা
$2,554,856 Vol.
$2,554,856 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block any swift resolution, as evidenced by the Kremlin’s July 2026 statement ruling out immediate talks and the abrupt end of earlier trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Russia maintains expansive demands including control over additional regions beyond current lines, while Ukraine insists on robust, long-term Western security commitments without ceding sovereignty. Recent U.S. diplomatic proposals and Zelenskyy’s August 2026 submissions have yielded no breakthroughs amid renewed Russian strikes and stalled momentum following the Iran conflict. These entrenched positions and lack of verifiable progress sustain trader expectations that a signed deal remains unlikely before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,554,856শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block any swift resolution, as evidenced by the Kremlin’s July 2026 statement ruling out immediate talks and the abrupt end of earlier trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Russia maintains expansive demands including control over additional regions beyond current lines, while Ukraine insists on robust, long-term Western security commitments without ceding sovereignty. Recent U.S. diplomatic proposals and Zelenskyy’s August 2026 submissions have yielded no breakthroughs amid renewed Russian strikes and stalled momentum following the Iran conflict. These entrenched positions and lack of verifiable progress sustain trader expectations that a signed deal remains unlikely before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$2,554,856শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality continue to block any swift resolution, as evidenced by the Kremlin’s July 2026 statement ruling out immediate talks and the abrupt end of earlier trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Russia maintains expansive demands including control over additional regions beyond current lines, while Ukraine insists on robust, long-term Western security commitments without ceding sovereignty. Recent U.S. diplomatic proposals and Zelenskyy’s August 2026 submissions have yielded no breakthroughs amid renewed Russian strikes and stalled momentum following the Iran conflict. These entrenched positions and lack of verifiable progress sustain trader expectations that a signed deal remains unlikely before the end of 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা