US strikes on Iranian military targets at Kharg Island in March and April 2026, including over 90 restrikes on air defenses, missile sites, and naval facilities, have not extended to oil infrastructure or altered Iranian governmental and military control of the island. President Trump has repeatedly threatened seizure or further escalation to pressure Tehran into reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with thousands of US Marines and additional forces positioned in the region as potential support for such an operation. Iran has reinforced defenses on the island, which handles roughly 90 percent of its crude exports, while satellite imagery shows halted tanker traffic and a suspected oil slick in early May. No ground invasion or transfer of authority has occurred, and analysts note the high risks and logistical challenges of any attempt to occupy the site amid ongoing diplomatic deadlines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডখার্গ দ্বীপটি এখন আর ইরানের নিয়ন্ত্রণে নেই...?
$43,043,948 Vol.
৩১ মে
4%
৩০ জুন
9%
$43,043,948 Vol.
৩১ মে
4%
৩০ জুন
9%
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US strikes on Iranian military targets at Kharg Island in March and April 2026, including over 90 restrikes on air defenses, missile sites, and naval facilities, have not extended to oil infrastructure or altered Iranian governmental and military control of the island. President Trump has repeatedly threatened seizure or further escalation to pressure Tehran into reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with thousands of US Marines and additional forces positioned in the region as potential support for such an operation. Iran has reinforced defenses on the island, which handles roughly 90 percent of its crude exports, while satellite imagery shows halted tanker traffic and a suspected oil slick in early May. No ground invasion or transfer of authority has occurred, and analysts note the high risks and logistical challenges of any attempt to occupy the site amid ongoing diplomatic deadlines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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