The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in a US-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, resulting in the swift selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts. This shift has consolidated power within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which now exerts greater day-to-day influence amid the ongoing conflict, while President Masoud Pezeshkian continues in his elected role and has publicly affirmed coordination with the new supreme leader following their May 2026 meeting. Mojtaba's prolonged absence from public view has fueled speculation about his effective control, though official statements emphasize institutional continuity. Traders focus on whether further military strikes, internal factional disputes, or diplomatic developments could produce additional leadership turnover before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$13,576,585 Vol.
May 31, 2026
৩১ মে
6%
৩০ জুন
14%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
35%
$13,576,585 Vol.
৩১ মে
$1,920,035 Vol.
6%
৩০ জুন
$1,068,593 Vol.
14%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$2,392,076 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in a US-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, resulting in the swift selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts. This shift has consolidated power within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which now exerts greater day-to-day influence amid the ongoing conflict, while President Masoud Pezeshkian continues in his elected role and has publicly affirmed coordination with the new supreme leader following their May 2026 meeting. Mojtaba's prolonged absence from public view has fueled speculation about his effective control, though official statements emphasize institutional continuity. Traders focus on whether further military strikes, internal factional disputes, or diplomatic developments could produce additional leadership turnover before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
ভলিউম
$13,576,585শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in a US-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, resulting in the swift selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts. This shift has consolidated power within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which now exerts greater day-to-day influence amid the ongoing conflict, while President Masoud Pezeshkian continues in his elected role and has publicly affirmed coordination with the new supreme leader following their May 2026 meeting. Mojtaba's prolonged absence from public view has fueled speculation about his effective control, though official statements emphasize institutional continuity. Traders focus on whether further military strikes, internal factional disputes, or diplomatic developments could produce additional leadership turnover before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$13,576,585শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in a US-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, resulting in the swift selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts. This shift has consolidated power within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which now exerts greater day-to-day influence amid the ongoing conflict, while President Masoud Pezeshkian continues in his elected role and has publicly affirmed coordination with the new supreme leader following their May 2026 meeting. Mojtaba's prolonged absence from public view has fueled speculation about his effective control, though official statements emphasize institutional continuity. Traders focus on whether further military strikes, internal factional disputes, or diplomatic developments could produce additional leadership turnover before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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