Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the Assembly of Experts' formal succession process. The body selected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, as successor on March 9 following a unanimous vote. Primary drivers of trader positioning include the accelerated role of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in regime decision-making, reports of Mojtaba's limited public appearances and possible injuries, and persistent diplomatic friction with Washington over sanctions, nuclear issues, and regional proxies. The regime has maintained continuity under a harder-line security apparatus, with interim structures and parliamentary figures handling external talks. Key variables ahead include internal cohesion tests, any escalation in hostilities, and scheduled diplomatic contacts that could influence perceptions of further leadership shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$23,472,361 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
2%
September 30
6%
October 31
10%
November 30
13%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
18%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,472,361 Vol.
August 15
$60,914 Vol.
<1%
August 22
$28,815 Vol.
1%
August 31
$1,147,782 Vol.
2%
September 30
$438,327 Vol.
6%
October 31
$8,752 Vol.
10%
November 30
$9,231 Vol.
13%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$3,995,306 Vol.
18%
June 30, 2027
$236,858 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the Assembly of Experts' formal succession process. The body selected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, as successor on March 9 following a unanimous vote. Primary drivers of trader positioning include the accelerated role of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in regime decision-making, reports of Mojtaba's limited public appearances and possible injuries, and persistent diplomatic friction with Washington over sanctions, nuclear issues, and regional proxies. The regime has maintained continuity under a harder-line security apparatus, with interim structures and parliamentary figures handling external talks. Key variables ahead include internal cohesion tests, any escalation in hostilities, and scheduled diplomatic contacts that could influence perceptions of further leadership shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$23,472,361শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the Assembly of Experts' formal succession process. The body selected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, as successor on March 9 following a unanimous vote. Primary drivers of trader positioning include the accelerated role of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in regime decision-making, reports of Mojtaba's limited public appearances and possible injuries, and persistent diplomatic friction with Washington over sanctions, nuclear issues, and regional proxies. The regime has maintained continuity under a harder-line security apparatus, with interim structures and parliamentary figures handling external talks. Key variables ahead include internal cohesion tests, any escalation in hostilities, and scheduled diplomatic contacts that could influence perceptions of further leadership shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$23,472,361শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, during active conflict, triggering the Assembly of Experts' formal succession process. The body selected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, as successor on March 9 following a unanimous vote. Primary drivers of trader positioning include the accelerated role of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in regime decision-making, reports of Mojtaba's limited public appearances and possible injuries, and persistent diplomatic friction with Washington over sanctions, nuclear issues, and regional proxies. The regime has maintained continuity under a harder-line security apparatus, with interim structures and parliamentary figures handling external talks. Key variables ahead include internal cohesion tests, any escalation in hostilities, and scheduled diplomatic contacts that could influence perceptions of further leadership shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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