Iran's constitution establishes fixed four-year presidential terms, with the next scheduled contest in 2028 following reformist Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory. The February-March 2026 conflict and subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts produced no presidential vacancy, resignation, or constitutional trigger for early balloting. The Guardian Council maintains strict candidate vetting authority, while the supreme leader's institutional role shapes the broader political calendar. Absent major catalysts such as leadership transitions, widespread unrest, or explicit regime announcements, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and limited near-term pathways to an accelerated vote. Scheduled diplomatic or security developments through late 2026 could influence internal pressures but have not yet altered the established timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,367 Vol.
December 31
5%
$767,367 Vol.
December 31
5%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitution establishes fixed four-year presidential terms, with the next scheduled contest in 2028 following reformist Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory. The February-March 2026 conflict and subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts produced no presidential vacancy, resignation, or constitutional trigger for early balloting. The Guardian Council maintains strict candidate vetting authority, while the supreme leader's institutional role shapes the broader political calendar. Absent major catalysts such as leadership transitions, widespread unrest, or explicit regime announcements, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and limited near-term pathways to an accelerated vote. Scheduled diplomatic or security developments through late 2026 could influence internal pressures but have not yet altered the established timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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