Despite repeated threats from Iranian officials and lawmakers to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) amid U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on nuclear sites since early 2026, Tehran has taken no formal steps to initiate exit procedures, sustaining trader consensus at 88% against withdrawal before 2027. Parliament reviewed bills in March to quit the NPT and repeal nuclear deal commitments, but these remain pending without votes, while Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing NPT Review Conference, signaling continued adherence. Historical patterns of unfulfilled threats since 2004, coupled with IAEA safeguards scrutiny and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation, underpin the high implied probability of non-withdrawal, though further military actions or diplomatic breakdowns could shift odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$121,542 Vol.
$121,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$121,542 Vol.
$121,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite repeated threats from Iranian officials and lawmakers to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) amid U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on nuclear sites since early 2026, Tehran has taken no formal steps to initiate exit procedures, sustaining trader consensus at 88% against withdrawal before 2027. Parliament reviewed bills in March to quit the NPT and repeal nuclear deal commitments, but these remain pending without votes, while Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing NPT Review Conference, signaling continued adherence. Historical patterns of unfulfilled threats since 2004, coupled with IAEA safeguards scrutiny and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation, underpin the high implied probability of non-withdrawal, though further military actions or diplomatic breakdowns could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$121,542শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite repeated threats from Iranian officials and lawmakers to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) amid U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on nuclear sites since early 2026, Tehran has taken no formal steps to initiate exit procedures, sustaining trader consensus at 88% against withdrawal before 2027. Parliament reviewed bills in March to quit the NPT and repeal nuclear deal commitments, but these remain pending without votes, while Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing NPT Review Conference, signaling continued adherence. Historical patterns of unfulfilled threats since 2004, coupled with IAEA safeguards scrutiny and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation, underpin the high implied probability of non-withdrawal, though further military actions or diplomatic breakdowns could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$121,542শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite repeated threats from Iranian officials and lawmakers to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) amid U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on nuclear sites since early 2026, Tehran has taken no formal steps to initiate exit procedures, sustaining trader consensus at 88% against withdrawal before 2027. Parliament reviewed bills in March to quit the NPT and repeal nuclear deal commitments, but these remain pending without votes, while Iran submitted working papers to the ongoing NPT Review Conference, signaling continued adherence. Historical patterns of unfulfilled threats since 2004, coupled with IAEA safeguards scrutiny and risks of intensified sanctions or escalation, underpin the high implied probability of non-withdrawal, though further military actions or diplomatic breakdowns could shift odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা