**Iran has maintained a firm position asserting its sovereign right to uranium enrichment for civilian purposes, as reaffirmed in public statements by officials including President Pezeshkian and security figures.** The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a 60-day window for final negotiations on issues including the disposition of enriched stockpiles via IAEA-supervised down-blending and a framework for enrichment limits, but that period expired without agreement; U.S. officials later described the MOU as concluded, and Iran cited reciprocal suspensions amid disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires. Recent September 2026 Iranian signals reference returning to the MOU framework with demands focused on asset releases, blockades, and broader conflict de-escalation, without concessions on ending enrichment activities. IAEA reporting notes the status quo on Iran's nuclear program pending any final accord. These factors—persistent Iranian red lines, stalled talks, and lack of verified progress toward zero enrichment—underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 87.5% implied probability for "No."
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
13% সম্ভাবনা
$1,755,447 Vol.
$1,755,447 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
13% সম্ভাবনা
$1,755,447 Vol.
$1,755,447 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Iran has maintained a firm position asserting its sovereign right to uranium enrichment for civilian purposes, as reaffirmed in public statements by officials including President Pezeshkian and security figures.** The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a 60-day window for final negotiations on issues including the disposition of enriched stockpiles via IAEA-supervised down-blending and a framework for enrichment limits, but that period expired without agreement; U.S. officials later described the MOU as concluded, and Iran cited reciprocal suspensions amid disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires. Recent September 2026 Iranian signals reference returning to the MOU framework with demands focused on asset releases, blockades, and broader conflict de-escalation, without concessions on ending enrichment activities. IAEA reporting notes the status quo on Iran's nuclear program pending any final accord. These factors—persistent Iranian red lines, stalled talks, and lack of verified progress toward zero enrichment—underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 87.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,755,447শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Iran has maintained a firm position asserting its sovereign right to uranium enrichment for civilian purposes, as reaffirmed in public statements by officials including President Pezeshkian and security figures.** The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a 60-day window for final negotiations on issues including the disposition of enriched stockpiles via IAEA-supervised down-blending and a framework for enrichment limits, but that period expired without agreement; U.S. officials later described the MOU as concluded, and Iran cited reciprocal suspensions amid disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires. Recent September 2026 Iranian signals reference returning to the MOU framework with demands focused on asset releases, blockades, and broader conflict de-escalation, without concessions on ending enrichment activities. IAEA reporting notes the status quo on Iran's nuclear program pending any final accord. These factors—persistent Iranian red lines, stalled talks, and lack of verified progress toward zero enrichment—underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 87.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,755,447শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Iran has maintained a firm position asserting its sovereign right to uranium enrichment for civilian purposes, as reaffirmed in public statements by officials including President Pezeshkian and security figures.** The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding established a 60-day window for final negotiations on issues including the disposition of enriched stockpiles via IAEA-supervised down-blending and a framework for enrichment limits, but that period expired without agreement; U.S. officials later described the MOU as concluded, and Iran cited reciprocal suspensions amid disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires. Recent September 2026 Iranian signals reference returning to the MOU framework with demands focused on asset releases, blockades, and broader conflict de-escalation, without concessions on ending enrichment activities. IAEA reporting notes the status quo on Iran's nuclear program pending any final accord. These factors—persistent Iranian red lines, stalled talks, and lack of verified progress toward zero enrichment—underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 87.5% implied probability for "No."
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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